Generative AI video used as false evidence in criminal trial by Dec 31, 2026?
5
200แน€126
2027
74%
chance

This market resolves YES if a generative AI video is used as fabricated evidence of a crime in a criminal court case by December 31, 2026. Based on current trends, courts have already seen AI-generated avatars in proceedings, including a 2025 case where Christopher Pelkey's family used AI to create a deepfake video of the deceased victim delivering a victim impact statement. A California court in 2025 found that plaintiffs submitted deepfake videos as evidence, marking early instances of AI-generated content in legal proceedings. The market resolves based on credible news reports or court documents showing generative AI video was presented as evidence (whether successfully admitted or not) in a criminal case. Resolution sources: major news outlets, court records, legal databases.

  • Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The use of generative AI video as false evidence must be publicly known by the market close time (January 1, 2027) for the market to resolve YES.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

What if it is used, but this information is not publicly known before the end of 2026?

@MaxE It must be publicly known by time of closing.

ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy