Will a deadly disease evolve in outerspace by 2100? | Manifold

Will a deadly disease evolve in outerspace by 2100?

Basic

9

Ṁ214

2100

26%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Criteria

Must be classified as a new species, previously unknown
Must be found outside of earth (but can originate from earth)
Must be capable of making a person sick and killing them
I'll resolve when the first death occurs, or if the disease is eliminated I'll assess whether it could plausibly kill a typical 80 year old.

I may change the criteria in response to good suggestions.

I will not trade on this market.

More people means more evolution:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ25 NO

No more than a one-in-a-million chance, and only figuratively that high, not literally.

Related questions

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will a human die in space by 2035?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?

Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2100?

Related questions

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?

Will a human die in space by 2035?

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will I be alive by 2100?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will there be a fatal space accident before 2030?

Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2100?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules