Was Hamas using the Al-Ansar mosque as a terrorist compound?
7
40
แน€150
Dec 31
65%
chance

Includes a compound bellow the mosque.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-67186178.amp

I will not bet in this market.

Resolution criteria:

I will make a judgement based on arguments in the comments and a critical reading of many sources, including the following:

  1. Post war report from amnesty international

    Eg: https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/mde21/1178/2015/en/

  2. Findings from Isreal's Military Advocate General's Corps

    More about them here: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_Advocate_General

  3. Eg: https://www.idf.il/en/mini-sites/military-advocate-general-s-corps/mag-corps-press-release-update-2-dec-2014

  4. Open source intelligence analysis

  5. Official Palestinian reports

  6. Offical reports from other governments

Market resolution goes based on what I expect the median informed, intelligent person reading the same evidence would come away with.

If I judge there is not a preponderance of evidence pointing one way or another, I'll resolve NA.

I may change the criteria to make them better in response to suggestions.

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