On January 24, the State Department paused disbursements of foreign aid for a 90-day review period. So far, there are exemptions for emergency food aid but not for PEPFAR. This market resolves YES if PEPFAR funding is unfrozen as of February 15, 2025, and NO if funding is (still) frozen on that date.
https://apnews.com/article/state-department-trump-foreign-aid-bf047e17ef64cb42a1a1b7fdf05caffa
1,000
3.00@Fay42 I should have worded this more clearly but I wrote "funding is unfrozen as of February 15, 2025" so I will wait to see that it is still unfrozen then
Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who initially exempted only emergency food programs and military aid to Israel and Egypt from the aid pause, agreed Tuesday to at least temporarily keep spending money on humanitarian programs that provide life-saving medicine, medical services, food, shelter and subsistence assistance, according to a copy of a signed waiver obtained by The Associated Press.
Thanks for the market!
Created a further-dated version of the market (Apr 15), to focus on cases where we do unfreeze slower but before countries generally run out of ART stockpiles:
https://manifold.markets/venki/pepfar-funding-unfrozen-by-apr-15-2?play=true