Will a Manifold account betting only "yes" on random "yes/no" markets result in a profitable account?
19
390Ṁ551
resolved Jan 5
Resolved
N/A

Starting December 1st, 2023, I will create an account that will only bet "yes" on "yes/no" markets. The account will choose the markets to bet on by going to "Browse" and sorting by "Random", then place a 10 mana bet on the first market that pops up. The frequency of bets will be at my liesure.


On Jan 1st 2024, I will screenshot my portfolio profit. If there is a profit, this market resolves "Yes".

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I searched for accounts that match the description and could not find any obvious evidence. Looked for usernames or bios that said "Yes" and "No" and similar

@DanielKilian

if you really did make these accounts show them.

Resolving N/A unless the creator comes back to clarify.

predictedNO

Created a Discord thread to discuss the resolution of this one and a similar question. If you want to join: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/938171760237477998/threads/1192805998566584471

predictedNO

@DanielKilian please post the screenshot and resolve according to the description

As is well known, nothing ever happens, therefore Yes betting is destined to fail.

Do most questions get No'd down?

manifold.markets/breezybot already basically does this (but it randomizes Yes/No), and it ain’t going great.

@mattyb Looks like the link is broken on my end.

edit: nvm, it's working now.

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