Will the CFTC investigate Manifold before the end of 2024?
5
26
180
2025
34%
chance

Market resolutions redeemable for cash! Sounds like a potentially dicey area.

"Investigate" being defined loosely as coming under any regulatory scrutiny. Filing charges would definitely count. So would publishing a statement on Prize Points and cash payouts.

Resolves NO if this hasn't happened by the end of the year, including if Manifold abandons the pivot around prize point payout.

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