
Who will be the next permanent President of Iran?
50
2.1kṀ38kresolved Jul 6
100%99.0%
Masoud Pezeshkian
0.1%
Mohammad Mokhber
0.1%
Gholam-Hossein Esmaeili
0.1%
Mohsen Rezaee
0.1%
Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf
0.3%
Saeed Jalili
0.1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
0.1%
Amir-Hossein Ghazizadeh Hashemi
0.1%
Alireza Zakani
0.1%
Mostafa Pourmohammadi
0.1%Other
If Ebrahim Raisi is found alive, this question still resolves to the next president after him.
This question resolves to the next person elected as permanent President of Iran. According to the NYT:
Iran’s law stipulates that if the president dies, power is transferred to the first vice president and an election must be called within six months.
If Ebrahim Raisi is confirmed dead and Mohammad Mokhber is appointed President in an interim capacity, that does not count for the purpose of this market. If he is then elected, that will count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,207 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,082 | |
| 3 | Ṁ363 | |
| 4 | Ṁ302 | |
| 5 | Ṁ288 |
People are also trading
Who will be the next president of France?
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
21% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
4% chance
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2030?
94% chance
Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?
Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin?
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
41% chance
Sort by:
@traders feel free to suggest names to add, I know it's expensive at Ṁ250 right now. If I think it's likely they'll trade above 10% I'll add them.
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next president of France?
Will the Iran Nuclear Deal be revived under Iran's new president Masoud Pezeshkian?
21% chance
Will Iran’s current government be overthrown, removed, or collapse before January 2026?
4% chance
When the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader (Ayatollah Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next Supreme Leader?
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran before 2030?
94% chance
Who will replace Mahmoud Abbas as President?
Who will be the next President of Russia, after Vladimir Putin?
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
41% chance