Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI (interim or permanent)?
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI (interim or permanent)?
9
590Ṁ3248resolved Nov 30
100%98.9%
Sam Altman
0.1%
None - position will cease to exist
0.0%
Mira Murati
0.0%
Greg Brockman
0.1%
Emmett Shear
0.8%Other
Resolves to the next person announced as CEO of OpenAI in any capacity.
Edge Case: If Emmett Shear becomes the permanent CEO of OpenAI, this market will resolve to him.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ255 | |
| 2 | Ṁ92 | |
| 3 | Ṁ43 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ15 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Who will be the next Chief Technology Officer of OpenAI?
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?
Who will be the next CEO of OpenAi?
What will happen to OpenAI next year?
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2025?
92% chance
Is Emmett Shear the interim ex-CEO of OpenAI?
14% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2026?
79% chance
Will Sam Altman still be CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2027?
76% chance
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI when it releases AGI?
63% chance