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⭐Super Tuesday⭐: Will Donald Trump come within 20% of losing in any state?
24
538Ṁ16kresolved Mar 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Nikki Haley (or theoretically anyone else) is within 20 percentage points of Donald Trump in any state on Super Tuesday.
Otherwise, resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I assume this counts the caucuses as well as the primaries? But since you said "state", that technically leaves out American Samoa: The Complete 2024 Presidential Primary Schedule by State - Election Central (uspresidentialelectionnews.com).
@TimothyJohnson5c16 Yes for caucuses, no for American Samoa since I did exclude it via the title and don't want to change it now.