How much will TikTok sell for, in billions of dollars, if sold by the end of 2025?
9
61
440
2026
138
expected

Resolves N/A if TikTok has not sold by the end of 2025.

If it sells for more than $500 billion value listed, resolves to the maximum bucket.

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ109 200-250 YES

211??? twitter sold for 44b and it was an astronomical price

@SemioticRivalry Any community suggestions on how to set the upper and lower bound on these types of markets? I'm still not sure best practice. The high end of the estimates I quickly googled were several hundred billion, I agree that's unlikely but didn't want to exclude the possibility - TikTok has more than triple the estimated MAU of Twitter.

it's pretty hard, idk

@SemioticRivalry I guess you'd take a view on potential DAU/MAU growth and then consider the potential to monetize and look at other social media market caps? ~10-20% of the market cap of Meta doesn't seem crazy

This is a fire sale and won’t get top dollar. The buyers have all the leverage so it won’t get what it’s worth for sure.