Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2023?
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347
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

The Criteria for this market to resolve yes would be:

The USA is involved in some kind of combat with one or more foreign powers. (eg China, Russia Etc.)

AND

a high ranking politician (eg president, VP etc) openly comments on and acknowledges an open conflict.

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I'm guessing this is only for sending troops in who aren't invited by someone with a decent claim on being a government? Because this Peru thing is happening.

https://www.westernjournal.com/armed-us-troops-headed-peru-soon-week/

when has the US ever not been involved in some low level combat somewhere?

predicted YES

@JonathanRay https://freakonometrics.hypotheses.org/50473
~7% of the time the wasn't envolved in war

@JoshuaWilkes If I'm understanding correctly these strikes are against Iranian backed but ultimately independent forces, and not the country itself.