Polymarket legally accessible to US citizens before December 31, 2025
98
10kṀ25k
2026
25%
chance

This market resolves YES if Polymarket becomes officially allowed by regulatory bodies (such as the CFTC) for US citizens to use the platform without restrictions by December 31, 2025. Resolution will be based on official announcements from Polymarket or regulatory bodies.

References:

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • A version of Polymarket that is accessible to US citizens but has a reduced set of markets would qualify for YES resolution

  • The impact of removing crypto trading capabilities on resolution is currently undetermined

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):

  • A version of Polymarket that is accessible to US citizens but has a reduced set of markets would qualify for YES resolution

  • The impact of removing crypto trading capabilities on resolution is currently undetermined

Meta-Forecasting
Predictions on Predictions
Companies
Polymarket
Internet Censorship
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026
-10% 1d37% chance
Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before January 1, 2026?
40% chance
Polymarket acquired by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Polymarket allow US citizens to bet on the 2026 midterms?
38% chance
Will Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
50% chance
Loans against Polymarket positions widely available before EOY 2026?
29% chance
Real money political prediction markets will be legal in the US for a month before 2030
80% chance
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
42% chance
Will Polymarket create a Token in the following year?
When will the CFTC take action against Polymarket?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy