Resolves YES:
IF {AI Company} makes a public commitment to a conditional pause of AI capabilities AND {AI Company} suffers antitrust repercussions as a consequence.
Resolves N/A:
IF no such commitment is made by {AI Company}.
Resolves NO otherwise.
Definitions:
public: on the company website or official corporate social media accounts (eg CEO's twitter account doesn't qualify)
conditional: commitment activates only when other companies also pause
pause: ≥6 months long
capabilities: to be defined in the commitment published by {AI Company}
antitrust repercussions: a lawsuit by the FTC or DOJ under antitrust statutes is initiated before the resolution date and directly references the conditional pause commitment
I will resolve each option using my best judgment, but will defer to Eliezer Yudkowsky if he expresses disagreement with any resolution.
1,000