Will the UK (excluding Northern Ireland) experience major riots in 2025, similar to 2024? (V2)
17
Ṁ1kṀ15kresolved Jan 21
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background
The UK experienced significant riots in 2024, sparked by anti-immigration sentiments. These riots involved violent clashes between far-right groups, counter-protesters, and police forces.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if there are multiple days of riots across multiple cities.
The definition of "riot" will be determined by three or more mainstream UK publications calling them riots in a non-comment headline.
The market will resolve NO if none of these criteria are met during 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,290 | |
| 2 | Ṁ236 | |
| 3 | Ṁ57 | |
| 4 | Ṁ50 | |
| 5 | Ṁ24 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2025?
38% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
Will political violence in the US increase in 2025?
Will there be widespread political unrest in the US in the summer of 2026 similar to summer of 2020?
32% chance
Will there be a civil war in Britain before the end of 2029
11% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
72% chance
Will a singular event cause mass civil unrest in the United States by 2029
45% chance