Will the metric exceed 260.0 million tonnes by May 2026?
0
Ṁ100May 31
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if threshold exceeded by May 31, 2026. Indonesia's cut on the mining work-plan quota reduces global nickel supply, affecting the raw ore availability for smelters, and tightening the market. (Generated from article 0, LLM error: Connection error.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 250 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
62% chance
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 230 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
63% chance
Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 270 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?
18% chance
Will the LME nickel futures price exceed 8500 USD/tonne on July 1, 2026?
91% chance
By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?
60% chance
Will the LME nickel price exceed 9500 USD/tonne on July 1, 2026?
87% chance
Will the avg BMI 99.9% Sc2O3 (EXW China) price for May 2026 exceed 2500 USD/kg?
10% chance
Will the avg BMI 99.9% Sc2O3 (EXW China) price for May 2026 exceed 800 USD/kg?
38% chance
Will the LME nickel price exceed 9000 USD/tonne on July 1, 2026?
90% chance
Will the avg BMI 99.9% Sc2O3 (EXW China) price for May 2026 exceed 1200 USD/kg?
41% chance