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MANIFOLD
Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 2000 USD/t on March 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ5
2027
52%
chance

This market resolves YES if the value of measurable spherical_graphite_china_spot_price exceeds 2000 USD/t on March 31, 2027.

See measurable definition: measurables/graphite/spherical_graphite_china_spot_price.measurable.yaml

What is being measured: Battery-grade coated spherical graphite (≥99.95% C, D50 ~15–20μm) spot price in China's domestic market, in USD/t.

YES if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price ≥ 2000 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027 NO if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price < 2000 USD per tonne on March 31, 2027

Resolution sources (priority order):

  1. Asian Metal spherical graphite price (asianmetal.com)

  2. Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spherical graphite price (smm.cn)

  3. Fastmarkets battery graphite assessment (fastmarkets.com)

Market context
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