Resolves YES if the average global price of samarium oxide (Sm₂O₃) exceeds $X per kilogram by July 26, 2026, according to data from a recognized industry source such as the USGS or a major commodities market report. China's halt on samarium shipments to Japanese defense contractors is expected to reduce global supply by 2-4%, potentially increasing prices due to reduced availability and increased demand from alternative sources. This threshold matters as it reflects the market's response to geopolitical tensions affecting critical mineral supply chains.

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