Will I stick to my finals study routine from May 3 to May 11?
To prepare for my UC Berkeley finals on May 12 and 13, I’ve created a daily routine that I will aim to follow every day from May 3 through May 11 (inclusive). This market resolves YES if I follow the routine on all 9 days without exception. It resolves NO if I break it on even one day. I'll be betting this market up whenever I have mana.
✅ The Routine:
Study for at least 9 hours per day, between 8:00 am and 10:00 pm.
Attend my daily company meeting at 10:00 am without being late or missing it.
📌 Clarifications:
Study time must be productive and intentional—passive review or distracted time does not count.
Short breaks/meals are fine, as long as total focused study time is 9+ hours.
The 10am meeting must be attended live (not watching a recording) and engaged with.
📅 Timeframe:
This market only covers May 3 to May 11, the lead-up to finals.
Final resolution will be determined by me, based on a combination of self-assessment, time-tracking logs, and calendar/meeting attendance records. I will update every day with how much I studied and whether I made my meeting. If I fail to do this one day within the timeframe by midnight, the market resolves NO.
Information about Me:
I would consider myself extremely driven and motivated to perform well on these exams, but I have never been good at managing my time. I am not sure that I have spent 9 hours a day on a specific task for 10 days in a row at any point in my life. This market is my attempt to change that, and I will attempt to do this at all costs. I won't game the system in any way (e.g, unfairly counting doing my homework as studying), though. I will only buy YES. I might buy YES based on new information, but I will never sell YES or buy NO.
I have various other goals I'm also trying to complete within this period, which you can track here: https://manifold.markets/CrypticQccZ/will-i-get-my-life-together-in-the
You can also bet on how I'll perform on the exams here: https://manifold.markets/CrypticQccZ/how-will-i-perform-on-my-final-exam
1,000People are also trading
did it today! today was better. around 10 hours of work. still pretty far behind, but i think if i study this hrad every day i'll do well. going to the library helped me. i set up some AI systems (chatgpt project, etc) to help me study. biggest thing now is moving my sleep schedule earlier. have a quiz tomorrow for math, will see how i do. not nearly through all the content, but maybe i'll do OK.
Made it barely on the first day! Just over 9 hours today. Energized and committed as ever, but got a little distracted by various other projects as usual. I think in aggregate today was a very productive day, but I need to learn to prioritize one thing and be able to fully commit to it. This is the main reaosn I'm doing this: the finals/grades themselves are not that important.