MANIFOLD
Will there be a direct Morrocco-UK power cable operating by end of 2035?
28
Ṁ1kṀ5.3k
2035
15%
chance

Market context
Technology
World
Science
UK
Global Macro
Energy policy
Morocco
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the UK be powered entirely by clean electricity by 2035?
18% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?
33% chance
Will any fossil fuel power station be capable of supplying the UK grid by the end of 2030?
90% chance
Will UK turn off 2G by 2035?
87% chance
Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2030?
14% chance
Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?
25% chance
Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
80% chance
Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will a high-speed rail line between London and Manchester in the UK be operational before 2045?
36% chance
Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?
29% chance
Sort by:

@mods creator inactive, can we get the close date extended by 10 years?

bought Ṁ50 YES

incredibly low interest rates woaw

Seems like a missed opportunity to build datacenters in the UK tbh. Bring the power from Morocco, train in the UK. It's not a bad compromise.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/britain-rejects-morocco-uk-green-energy-cable-project-2025-06-26/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

bought Ṁ50 NO

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/dec/01/morocco-to-great-britain-subsea-power-cable-former-tesco-boss-dave-lewis

predictedYES

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/dec/04/government-chaos-delays-uk-sahara-energy-link

£18bn project to link UK to huge wind and solar farm in Sahara delayed by a year
Exclusive: Dave Lewis, chair of startup hoping to provide 8% of Britain’s energy, tells how political turmoil has delayed undersea cable project

People are also trading

Will the UK be powered entirely by clean electricity by 2035?
18% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?
33% chance
Will any fossil fuel power station be capable of supplying the UK grid by the end of 2030?
90% chance
Will UK turn off 2G by 2035?
87% chance
Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2030?
14% chance
Will the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?
25% chance
Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
80% chance
Will Morocco bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will a high-speed rail line between London and Manchester in the UK be operational before 2045?
36% chance
Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?
29% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy