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MANIFOLD
How many World Cup games will be decided by penalty shootout in 2026?
8
Ṁ200Ṁ1.7k
2027
1.3%
0
1.1%
1
1.1%
2
1%
3
49%
4
42%
5
2%
6
1.7%
Above 6

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@traders So far it's three, and there are five games left to play.

Folks are really bidding up "above 6", but the larger pool in the knockout stage means a larger range of ability, which means a lower percentage of matches even going to overtime. Bet accordingly!