@IsaacKing and @DesTiny together manipulated @DesTiny's personal goal market to earn Ṁ16,000 profit. Will @IsaacKing lose his trustworthy-ish badge before Jan 31st?
@IsaacKing and @DesTiny together manipulated @DesTiny's personal goal market to earn Ṁ16,000 profit. Will @IsaacKing lose his trustworthy-ish badge before Jan 31st?
22
430Ṁ2545resolved Mar 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See this link for detailed description of the incidece of market manipulation:
https://manifold.markets/DesTiny/will-my-profit-be-above-1500-by-the
Such controversy will likely hit @DesTiny and @IsaacKing 's reputation.
Will @IsaacKing lose his trustworthy-ish badge before Jan 31st?
Resolve to Yes if @IsaacKing's trustworthy-ish badge was removed at any point before Jan 31st. (Even if the trustworthy-ish badge was reinstated at a later time, this market still resolves to Yes)
Resolve to No otherwise
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.