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MANIFOLD
Clarity Act will pass in September
3
Ṁ1kṀ850
Sep 30
26%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), or a combined legislative package containing this act, is officially signed into law by the President of the United States (or otherwise enacted over a veto) between September 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

The official source of truth for resolution will be the bill status history on Congress.gov.

Note: If the market creator intended "pass" to refer specifically to passage by the U.S. Senate rather than full enactment into law, they should clarify and edit these criteria accordingly before the start of September.

Background

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633), widely referred to as the CLARITY Act, is a major U.S. federal legislative effort aimed at providing a clear regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies and other digital assets. The bill delineates regulatory jurisdictions, splitting digital asset oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

The legislation originally passed the U.S. House of Representatives in July 2025. In May 2026, the Senate Banking Committee voted 15–9 to advance the bill, putting it on the Senate Legislative Calendar for full consideration.

Market context
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