Will the Yellow Fatu (Abultilon pitcairnense) become Extinct by 2100?
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Yellow Fatu, a plant species native to Pitcairn Island. It is classified as Extinct in the Wild on the IUCN Red List (last assessment in 2017), but persists in cultivation. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and cultivated individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is completely extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Yellow Fatu persists.
For more information about the species, see:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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