Will the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct by 2100?
2
500Ṁ892100
72%
chance
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1W
1M
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This market focuses on the risk of extinction of the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan. It will resolve YES, if the Bornean Orangutan is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about full extinction risk, including captive individuals:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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