Will the Komodo Dragon (Varanus komodoensis) become extinct in the current century?
4
500Ṁ3282099
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if the Komodo Dragon is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Komodo_dragon
IUCN red list of threatened species:
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22884/123633058
Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
It was narrowly spared from extinction in 1990. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Freshman_(1990_film)
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Galápagos Land Iguana (Conolophus subcristatus) become extinct in the current century?
56% chance
Will the Javan Rhinoceros (Rhinoceros sondaicus) become extinct in the current century?
83% chance
Will the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct in the current century?
54% chance
Will the Fire Salamander (Salamandra salamandra) become extinct in the current century?
19% chance
Will the Galápagos Pink Land Iguana (Conolophus marthae) become extinct in the current century?
87% chance
Will the Leatherback Turtle (Dermochelys coriacea) become extinct in the current century?
32% chance
Will the Lion (Panthera leo) become extinct in the current century?
16% chance
Will the Tiger (Panthera tigris) become extinct in the current century?
14% chance
Will the Tapanuli Orangutan (Pongo tapanuliensis) become extinct in the current century?
79% chance
Will the Chinese Alligator (Alligator sinensis) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance