Will Burneo’s Oldfield Mouse (Thomasomys burneoi) become Extinct by 2100?
1
500Ṁ102099
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market focuses on the extinction risk of Burneo’s Oldfield Mouse, a newly discovered species that is not classified on the IUCN Red List yet. Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and cultivated individuals. The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier. It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the species is extinct. The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that Burneo’s Oldfield Mouse persists.
For more information about the species, see:
For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the wild population of the Azure-thighed Tree Frog (Litoria azuroscelis) become extinct by 2100?
50% chance
Will the House Mouse (Mus musculus) become extinct in the current century?
2% chance
Will the wild population of Bulbonaricus Brucei become Extinct by 2100?
65% chance
Will the wild population of Burneo’s Oldfield Mouse (Thomasomys burneoi) become Extinct by 2100?
50% chance
Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) Extinct in the Wild by 2100?
42% chance
Will the wild population of the Blond Titi Monkey (Callicebus barbarabrownae) become Extinct by 2100?
81% chance
Big-headed Amazon River Turtle (Peltocephalus dumerilianus) Extinct by 2100?
34% chance
Will the Azure-thighed Tree Frog (Litoria azuroscelis) become extinct by 2100?
39% chance
Will the wild population of the Bornean Orangutan (Pongo pygmaeus) become extinct by 2100?
72% chance
Will the wild population of the Brown Rat (Rattus norvegicus) become extinct by 2100?
2% chance