The impetus for this market is Andy Burnham’s ascension to Prime Minister.

Resolves YES if UK AISI is either disbanded or, in my judgement, is “gutted” (modified in structure such that its impact on making AI safer drops by at least 80%). In judging this, I will try to be reasonable and will consider the consensus in the AI safety community. I may resolve 50% if it is unclear.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.