Will the MTG tournament regret that we didn’t ban throwing/betting against yourself?

Magic: The Gathering•February MTG tournament

112

Ṁ1.2K

Ṁ430

resolved May 24

Resolved as

25%

ALL

@IsaacKing is running an MTG tournament with some prizes but also markets. If the tournament occurs with no rules banning throwing or banning betting against yourself, will players regret it after the tournament? Maybe it won't be an issue, or maybe it'll be a fun extra dimension, we'll see.

Resolves YES, NO, or to an appropriate percentage according to my judgement after discussing this issue with people after the tournament. Resolves N/A if the tournament does not occur or we do end up banning this.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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13 Comments

19 Holders

47 Trades

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predicted NO

Overall it seems like people don’t really “regret” it - it was appreciated as an experiment - but also don’t really think we should do the next tournament this way. I was a bit vague beforehand about what counts as regretting, but I think 1/4 is about fair.

predicted NO

@Conflux I got scammed

bought Ṁ20 of NO

If anything we should regret not making the rules clearer to everybody. As for me I don't feel bad about seeing people throwing or bribing, that was expected and part of the wider game

bought Ṁ20 of NO

No, we'll be entertained by it rather than regretting it.

predicted NO

@Multicore I have changed my mind now that @IsaacKing threw in order to take my mana.

@Multicore Sorry!

What happens if we ban it partway through the tournament?

What happens if we think it's a bad idea for future tournaments, but we don't regret trying it out this once, since it gave us useful information?

@IsaacKing Good questions. For the first one, I would lean towards YES, since we regretted it enough to switch!

For the second one, probably a percentage, but the main question I’m considering is “Will we think this was a bad decision in retrospect?” So leaning towards NO.

Oh interesting. I was thinking about it more as "is this a good idea?", in which case I thought the second scenario should also resolve to YES.

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@IsaacKing Yeah, maybe it should?

predicted YES

@Conflux Okay, lemme clarify. If it’s more that people liked having done it once but don’t want to do it in the future, that’s more toward NO. If people didn’t like having done it but just have very nuanced opinions about exploration/exploitation tradeoffs, that’s more toward YES. I maybe was answering your hypothetical as if it was the first thing, when you meant the second thing?

@Conflux I was thinking of the first. I generally don't "regret" doing things that turned out poorly, as long as I think the decision was correct in expectation given what I knew at the time.

predicted YES

@IsaacKing Alright. I think if it goes badly, it will probably go badly in the predictable way, so probably this market will end up as a proxy for whether not banning throwing makes the tournament less fun.