Will the Market Manipulation Podcast meet our M$6,000 funding goal within two weeks?
Will the Market Manipulation Podcast meet our M$6,000 funding goal within two weeks?
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150Ṁ1386resolved Apr 1
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YES1H
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ALL
If the Market Manipulation Podcast meets its funding goal of M$6,000 (send to marketmanipulationpodcast@gmail.com), we will commit to recording a third episode!
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General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Mar 18, 11:20am: Will the Market Manipulation Podcast meet its M$6,000 funding goal within two weeks? → Will the Market Manipulation Podcast meet our M$6,000 funding goal within two weeks?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.