Will my US travels "win the Electoral College" before the 2024 election?
9
211Ṁ1420
resolved Nov 6
Resolved
NO

Coincidentally, if the set of states I've been to (including DC) are colored blue, and those I haven't been to are colored red, it looks surprisingly like a plausible election map! (If you don't ask why the Democrats won Missouri and Alaska but lost Vermont and Maine...) (A main reason is that I'm from California, have family on the East Coast, and have been lucky enough to have been on some other inter-state trips.) Right now, it's a total of 254 electoral votes, which is pretty close to the 270 necessary for an outright majority. I have no imminent plans to visit any of the remaining states, but Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Ohio would each be sufficient on their own, as well as many combinations of other states.

Will I reach 270 before Election Day 2024?

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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I am sorry for all I have done to contribute to the Harris loss

up to 260 (with Utah) but I don't think I'm gonna get further...

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