Will Jet Lag Season 15 be an all-star game of Tag Across Europe between Sam&Toby, Adam&Michelle, and Ben&Brian?
14
1kṀ2578
Aug 10
61%
chance

We love a little Conflux Infers Things From Sam’s Instagram Story Parlay….

Resolves NO if any of the title conditions are not met.

I will accept a bit of leniency on what constitutes “Tag Across Europe,” since I expect they’ll modify the rules for the team format, but it must be a fundamentally tag-based game played in teams of two.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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sold Ṁ397 YES

Weird ordering of tags on the Nebula story … making me doubt. Sam+Brian, Adam+Toby, Michelle+Ben actually seems kinda reasonable, esp if you think Adam+Michelle is too intense. Also, Sam has been paired with everyone, but Brian was the longest ago, so this would be the most fresh-feeling …

@Conflux Michelle and Ben (mayyybe Sam) are the only ones who are in a sort of battle posture

It's clearly an All Star game. We are clearly meant to assume it's Tag from the location and the fact that it's the participants are a multiple of three.

But.

Team Tag wouldn't work with the same rules, because you surely don't want 4 people chasing as a gaggle.

Clearly they could change the rules to have two groups chasing separately somehow, and it still be Tag.

But there's a lot of possibility space here!

bought Ṁ50 NO

I'm buying NO because there's a fair chance Michelle and Toby are a team

@JoshuaWilkes But then who’d Sam team up with?

Maybe just confirmation bias but I really think my theory is true, based on both where they’re standing and interpersonal dynamics (Sam and Toby are the chill logic team, Adam and Michelle are the anxious competitive team, and Ben and Brian are the quirky vibes team)

@Conflux I guess my theory does mean that women will no longer be undefeated in mainline jetlag, whereas yours leaves a 1/3 chance

@Conflux Is the take Sam+Brian, Ben+Adam, Michelle+Toby?

@Conflux I think maybe 65ish is a fair price, could also be a six player game, or smth besides tag that just happens to be here

@Conflux Toby’s shirt says All Star

@Conflux yeah, I think Sam and Brian in that case

@Conflux good catch on the shirt!

@JoshuaWilkes Possible. I think people do wonder what would happen if Ben and Adam teamed up with different people … and my scheme is more “symmetrical” …

@JoshuaWilkes I just realized Michelle and Toby are (almost) hugging in the photo so you may be right?

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