Will I write another Above the Fold: Manifold Politics newsletter in 2024?
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8
Ṁ630Jan 1
69%
chance
1D
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1M
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Reasons for NO: election is over, there'll be less news, political fatigue, prioritizing other aspects of college life, I overall don't enjoy the writing process and the fact that it encourages me (and the reader) to be a political junkie
Reasons for YES: I may end up being a political junkie anyway, there may be more big news, I have twice returned to newsletters after thinking I'd scale back, financial + clout incentive, people say they like the newsletters
Right now, emotionally, it feels like a tossup.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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