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MANIFOLD
Will I test positive for covid this week?
22
Ṁ780Ṁ1k
resolved Mar 17
Resolved
NO

Felt slightly congested and fatigued today, but could be normal daylight savings etc. A family member has a mild rebound case (had it a few weeks ago, tested negative, now testing positive again). Tested negative this morning.

I’ve been telling people today that I have a 20-40% chance, which I think is my vibe.

I had covid once before. I have been masking today and plan to continue to mask in general.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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I hope not.

Hmm, when I showered and went to bed last night I was feeling closer to 50-50, but I tested negative again this morning, so maybe the market knows better than me…

When was your last COVID case? last vaccine?

sold Ṁ17 YES

@WilliamEhlhardt Last covid case was May 2023. I’ve had four shots of vaccine and the last was in September 2022, according to my vaccination card.