Just curious what people think the odds are at the moment...
Clarification: I'll try to use a common-sense definition of "job/internship." I think if I found myself with an "I work at Manifold!" badge, or going to the office to do some sort of work on a regular basis, that would count. A single freelance gig (like USD funding for a Market Manipulation Podcast episode) probably wouldn't, but a series of freelance payments might - it would depend on the exact situation. If anyone in the comments has an idea for better formal criteria, I'm open to that! (Perhaps I'll also make another, less ambiguous market.)
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
1,000π Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ457 | |
| 2 | αΉ97 | |
| 3 | αΉ68 | |
| 4 | αΉ52 | |
| 5 | αΉ47 |
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@ColinC this is funny since I was considering resolving YES (I do sort of consider myself a freelance newsletter writer for Manifold right now; they are paying me). I think Iβll resolve if I do a third newsletter this summer
@lag haha Iβm not exactly angling for one right now! maybe if I get rejected from every college
@ian Hmm, Iβm not sure. I suppose if Iβm on the payroll for Manifold? I havenβt thought through whether this counts.
As I said in the description, Iβm not really pitching anything yet, it just occurred to me that this wasnβt the most implausible scenario :)
@ian Maybe my criterion should just be if I get one of those βI work at Manifold!β badges