The thing I said I would finish in the embedded market, because shock surprise I'm still not being productive. At this point I've made enough progress that it's a reasonable goal. Probably.
I won't rule out eating lunch at like 3pm in order to win this market, if I get the thing done... I'd love to eat lunch earlier though.
I will not sell YES or bet NO, though I may cancel limit orders, so fill 'em while you can. I will probably provide updates in the comments.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This market was really good for my productivity again. However, two of my old “friends” made appearances as usual:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scope_creep
y’all better like this blog post/video
(honestly I’m having fun writing it, which is a good sign probably)
um I got distracted and rewrote the blurb at tinyurl.com/confluxblog. that's cool but not really progress