I've failed (but made progress) on two previous markets, but maybe third time's the charm?

As usual, I will not sell YES or buy NO, but I reserve the right to cancel limit orders. I will probably provide live updates.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.