Will I be the most profitable Proofnik again at end of March?
Mini
20
Ṁ5.0k
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES

I currently have an all-time profit of about M$20k, while @halfaswiftie has a profit of about M$23k. (I still have over 10k more portfolio value.) This is partially due to their high-risk, high-reward betting strategy, whereas clearly all my profit is due to genius predicting skill uh-huh yeah

Some other potential competitors: @JoshuaB has about M$13k, @8 has about M$10k, @audrey has about -M$2k (see market). oh wait sorry i was saying something about competitors. the point is: bet on gambles and your profit is in shambles (@halfaswiftie take heed)

Resolves YES if I have a higher legitimate profit (ignoring Manifold bugs and manipulation of this market) than all other current and former Proof School students at the exact end of March, and NO otherwise. If there's a dispute over whether something is a bug or market manipulation, I'll find someone impartial to arbitrate.

See also:

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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If only this closed 2 days later...

gigantic bet on “the market” from cece, could be high variance

Another day, another proof,
But will my efforts all bear fruit?
Numbers and logic, they're my game,
But will the board reflect the same?

Looks like a dead heat to me.

predicted YES

@MichaelWheatley I think I'm rising faster though

predicted NO

@Conflux Ahh. I was looking at the weekly view, but the monthly view is more clearly in your favour.

LMAO. @Wobbles is not even in the running with numbers like that!

link to halfaswiftie's account is broken. Is there a new name I should check?

predicted YES

@MichaelWheatley Yes, sorry! It’s @cece now.

I have now taken the lead!

you underestimate my power

also real talk: what happens for markets that resolve end of march too, do those get counted towards profit or no

@halfaswiftie This market is about profit at midnight when March ends.