Resolves YES if Nikki Haley publicly endorses Ron DeSantis in the 2024 presidential election while the embedded market gives him a lower than 95% chance to be the nominee. Resolves NO when DeSantis is not running (anymore) or is considered the presumptive nominee by media and the embedded market probability goes above 98.5% or below 1.5% for at least 12 hours.

See also the inverse question:

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.