Will Haley endorse DeSantis while the primaries are still competitive?
Mini
14
3.0k
resolved Jan 21
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if Nikki Haley publicly endorses Ron DeSantis in the 2024 presidential election while the embedded market gives him a lower than 95% chance to be the nominee. Resolves NO when DeSantis is not running (anymore) or is considered the presumptive nominee by media and the embedded market probability goes above 98.5% or below 1.5% for at least 12 hours.

See also the inverse question:

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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