Will Ron DeSantis be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
51%
chance
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arae
bought Ṁ150 of NO

I think Trump still has a very good chance of being the 2024 GOP candidate, especially if he can tone down the election denialism. DeSantis did quite well in Florida and is definitely in the mix, but not >50% right now.

Conflux avatar
Conflux
bought Ṁ40 of NO
imo it’s too far out to identify a specific non-incumbent, non-former candidate with relatively low name recognition with this level of confidence
Conflux avatar
Conflux
bought Ṁ250 of NO

@Conflux He had a great midterm, but I think this is still somewhat true

BTE avatar

@Conflux He has Scott Walker written all over him