Will Chuck Grassley run for reelection in 2028 to a ninth term as US Senator from Iowa?
2
αΉ100αΉ402028
43%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
He would turn 95 that year, and 101 at the end of his hypothetical ninth term. (This would beat the record set for oldest senator (100) set by Strom Thurmond.)
He filed some paperwork to do so already, but it's nonbinding.
Resolves YES if Grassley ends up being on the ballot. Resolves NO if he is not on the ballot for any reason (including not being alive).
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Democrats win Iowa in 2026?
Will Chuck Grassley serve out his term in the US Senate?
47% chance
In 2026, who will Iowa elect to the U.S. Senate?
If Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
48% chance
If Zach Wahls is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
43% chance
If term limits are repealed, will Barack Obama run for president in 2028?
27% chance
Will Chuck Schumer announce heβs not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
59% chance
Will Joe Biden run for a second non-consecutive presidential term in 2028?
1% chance
Will Joe Biden run for election as US President in 2028?
2% chance
Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?
7% chance