Will anyone bring at least 1000 free cookies to Manifest?
11
closes Sep 25
16%
chance

Excludes the organizers or any officially organized cookies. The cookies must be given out freely to attendees, and must each be what a normal person would consider a reasonably-sized non-poisonous cookie. They may be store-bought or homemade.

"Anyone" can be a group of people working as a team, but they must have a centralized supply of cookies at the conference.

Resolves based on personal confirmation or credible reports.

My market on 100 shot up real fast, so I'm wondering about a higher objective...

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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Shelvacu avatar
Sexyvacupredicts YES

Somebody should put a large limit order buy NO for incentive 👀

Shelvacu avatar
Sexyvacubought Ṁ10 of YES

near me the grocery store sells a pack of ~50 off-brand oreos for $3, so it would cost $63 to buy >1000 oreo-like cookies

2 replies
Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴predicts NO

@Shelvacu but thats too many oreos for one person to lug around and give to people. it's too many oreos for how many people will be there!

Shelvacu avatar
Sexyvacupredicts YES

@Stralor I don't think this market excludes cookies placed on a table and then given out freeley