I will go based on Lichtman’s interpretation of the Keys. (If he does not provide one, I will do my best to interpret the Keys.)

However, I will adjudicate afterward whether he was correct (since he has moved goalposts in 2000 + 2016).

Lichtman claims that the Keys have predicted every presidential election since 1984. Many, such as myself, are skeptical. Newsletter forthcoming :)

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.