Who will win the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election?
44
1.1kṀ22kresolved Nov 5
100%99.0%
Abigail Spanberger
0.2%
Winsome Earle-Sears
0.0%
Levar Stoney
0.5%
Li’l Petey (Write-in)
0.3%Other
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Virginia_gubernatorial_election
Resolves when the race is projected by a major news outlet or Dave Wasserman, re-resolves if the projection is wrong.
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Over the past year, there is somewhat more interest in Abigail Spanberger rather than Winsome Sears according to Google Trends data localized to this particular state (the 5-year data is much less helpful due to three huge peaks in the Novembers of 2020, 2021, and 2022).