What percent of games will I win in my next Zip It match against @JoshuaB?
4
10
110
resolved Jan 3
Resolved as
63%

Zip It is a word game similar to Bananagrams. In a match, whoever gets to 10 game wins first is the winner.

This market will resolve PROB to whatever percentage of games I win in my next match against @JoshuaB, rounded to the nearest integer. I've agreed not to bet NO and he's agreed not to bet YES.

We've played three normal matches so far, and I've trounced him 10-2 (83%), 10-2 (83%), and 10-1 (91%). We also played a match where I'm at a disadvantage (my tiles had to be oriented correctly but not his), and I still won 10-8 (56%). I've never lost a Zip It match in my life.

However, I've lent him my Zip It game and he claims he's been improving over winter break. I'm curious whether it will matter!

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predicted YES

10-6 win. Closer, but still a win!