Prop Bets: Conflux Caught a Cold
Standard
4
Ṁ4359
resolved Jun 2
Resolved
NO
I have a reasonably productive Sunday (about 25th percentile or higher)
Resolved
YES
I go up to Berkeley on Monday
Resolved
YES
I go to school on Tuesday
Resolved
YES
I go to school on Wednesday
Resolved
NO
I beat my Swiftle Rapid record of 105 during the cold #sniffling-and-swiftling
Resolved
NO
I record a day with happiness 2/10 or less during the cold
Resolved
NO
I throw up this week
Resolved
NO
I get any new symptoms this week
Resolved
NO
I actually have something more severe than a cold

I define the end of the cold as the next day where I feel around 90% normal. Right now I feel 50% normal, let’s say.

No symptoms yesterday. Absolutely no goddamn symptoms yesterday.

But today I’ve been sneezing an ungodly amount, my throat has been sore, I’ve been headachy (though that’s normal for me), and I’ve been feeling some chills - but that’s all. I tested negative for covid. I feel like I did for this market: /Conflux/will-i-miss-my-trip-leaving-on-frid

As for productivity today, I didn’t do the work that I had meant to, but I did do some other work - like looking at some forms, working on the LessOnline puzzle hunt, and sorting some cards for a Drawback Chess activity. I also played too much Swiftle Rapid, achieving a new high score of 105 (sufficient to beat @ithildulin‘s post-TTPD record).

Was hoping to head to Berkeley on Monday to work on the aforementioned puzzle hunt and meet friends. I kinda feel like I could cough-drop-and-mask-and-cold-medicine my way through it, but I don’t strictly need to go, so.

Lmk if you have any questions. I should probably get some rest now…

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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Declaring my cold over

I beat my Swiftle Rapid record of 105 during the cold #sniffling-and-swiftling
bought Ṁ50 I beat my Swiftle Ra... NO

Any progress on Swiftle Rapid? The cold is hopefully running out of time, so the record may be too...

@Bayesian I haven't been playing. Probably a good thing

bought Ṁ50 I actually have some... YES

Have you done any covid tests

I go up to Berkeley on Monday

@Conflux Your cold didn't stand a chance

@Bayesian yeah! I feel pretty good too. I think most of these markets are too close to 50% rn

@Conflux If only I wasn't at 30 mana

@Conflux but I'm glad!

I beat my Swiftle Rapid record of 105 during the cold #sniffling-and-swiftling
bought Ṁ20 I beat my Swiftle Ra... NO

When did you set this past record?

@Bayesian yesterday

does covid counts as "more severe than a cold"