I currently own 18,973 NO shares on whether Crystal Ballin' releases an episode before September. However, despite cohosting the "competing" Market Manipulation Podcast, I am excited about Manifold media in all forms, and think Crystal Ballin' too has the potential to be a great podcast, adding insight, value, and fun to the world of Manifold and forecasting. Allegedly the first episode will have a special guest, and maybe it'll also have interesting concepts or games or segments.

Therefore, if the first episode of Crystal Ballin' is sufficiently good, I'll feel like my NO bets were "put to good use sponsoring the podcast". However, if it's underwhelming or boring, I'll likely feel annoyed, since BTE (one of the cohosts) holds a large amount of YES on the market.

Ultimately, the resolution of this market will be based on my personal mental state after listening to the podcast, and may be YES, 75%, 50%, 25%, or NO.

If Crystal Ballin's trend of being vaporware continues and no episode materializes by September, this market will resolve N/A.

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.