Will El Niño develop this year? (as declared by NOAA before 1 December 2026)
8
Ṁ1kṀ16kresolved Jun 12
Resolved
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Resolves YES if NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issues an "El Niño Advisory" before 1 December 2026.
Resolves NO otherwise.
Background:
https://wmo.int/media/news/wmo-prepare-el-nino
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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this is a yes
"El Niño conditions developed over the past month, as shown by above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central to eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño-3.4 index value was +0.7°C, with the westernmost (Niño-4) and easternmost (Niño-1+2) indices at +0.7°C and +2.1°C, respectively..."