In a discussion on Twitter regarding the recently launched .zip TLD (top-level domain), Troy Hunt (cybersecurity consultant and creator of Have I Been Pwned) wrote:
It doesn’t make things better. Or worse.gentlemen’s bet that a year from now we’ll look back and nothing of significance would have happened with it
A year from launch, will "nothing of significance...have happened" with the .zip and .mov TLDs, according to Hunt?
(Note that the discussion focused on the .zip TLD, but this market will also cover .mov, another TLD that resembles a common file extension and was launched alongside .zip.)
This market resolves to Hunt's judgment of the outcome of his prediction (YES if he believes his prediction was correct, NO if not), as given in any public statement made between May 10, 2024, (one year after general availability of .zip and .mov) and December 31, 2024 (inclusive, with times in UTC). If Hunt does not make such a statement within the given timeframe, then this market resolves to N/A.
This market resolves based on the first relevant public statement that Hunt makes within the timeframe. If he changes his mind later in the year, that will have no effect on the resolution. Also, a public statement can also refer back to a previous statement outside the timeframe when it is clear that he continues to hold the same view.
When the interpretation of Hunt's statements is in doubt, I will rely on my own judgment and feedback from the community.
I may provide liquidity subsidies but I will not otherwise trade in this market.
Some clarifications: This market resolves based on the first relevant public statement that Hunt makes within the timeframe. If he changes his mind later in the year, that will have no effect on the resolution. Also, a public statement can also refer back to a previous statement outside the timeframe when it is clear that he continues to hold the same view.