Will Biden win in 2024? || Will "there be a hot war between the United States and Russia within the next year"?
21
Ṁ1kṀ7.3kresolved Sep 7
1H
6H
1D
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100%99.0%
Biden no || war no
0.1%
Biden yes || war yes
0.8%
Biden yes || war no
0.1%
Biden no || war yes
This market is part of a series of markets originally inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com, but now including Twitter predictions to broaden the search space.
They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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