Will "Biden also be remove under the 14th amendment?"
6
29
Ṁ317Ṁ150
2029
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets.
If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
@asmith yes, but making a market about constitutional law interpretation would be boring, and this is a testable hypothesis
Related questions
Will Congress attempt to ban Trump from office by enforcing the 14th amendment during 2024?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump be barred from the ballot in any state pursuant to the 14th Amendment before the 2024 election?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump be banned from running for President under the insurrection clause of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
13% chance
If impeached, will Biden be removed or resign?
8% chance
Will legislation be passed into law that lays out process for enforcing 14th amendment during 118th congress?
16% chance
Will at least one US state print ballots without listing Donald Trump due to Section 3 of the 14th Amendment?
5% chance
Will Joe Biden be convicted in an impeachment trial in the United States Senate?
1% chance
[Metaculus] Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?
4% chance
Will the Supreme Court find that Trump violated his oath of office while president in Colorado 14th amendment case?
4% chance
Will any nominee for the 2024 presidential election be removed from the ballot before the election?
32% chance